TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Neterda vs Jirasek Martin 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161214911116911
Jirasek Martin
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 3–1 Jirasek Martin Jirasek Martin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Neterda beat Martin 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.83 / Martin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martin)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13190783
Neterda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Martin1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNeterda3wins
AwayMartin1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderNeterda leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterdan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMartin25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda0Martin4n = 4Martin took 4 of 4
S2Neterda1Martin3n = 4Martin took 3 of 4
S3Neterda2Martin2n = 4split evenly
S4Neterda3Martin0n = 3Neterda took 3 of 3
S5Neterda3Martin0n = 3Neterda took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricNeterdaMartinN − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match42.537.8+4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 439 vs 52 / 10050.6%52%222 / 439 vs 52 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinNeterda 1.83/Martin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 24 · 15:35R. Neterda471041111113J. Martin4012116742
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda279990J. Martin331111113
WSep 5 · 11:35R. Neterda485101111113J. Martin3711125542
WAug 24 · 12:35R. Neterda48911611113J. Martin4111411782
R. Neterda10
WSep 24 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6183111372R. Neterda2.201111611113WSep 24 · 15:35J. Martin2.1012116742R. Neterda1.671041111113LSep 24 · 14:35R. Neterda1.67811101182J. Jr2.10119127113LSep 23 · 09:33J. Lovl1.73611411113R. Neterda2.0011911742WSep 23 · 08:35R. Neterda1.331111113M. Flesar3.250980LSep 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.73981116113R. Neterda2.00111161452WSep 23 · 06:35J. Lovl1.671121161R. Neterda2.1013116113WSep 21 · 17:24J. Ruzicka1.806121231R. Neterda1.91111410113LSep 21 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57159118113R. Neterda2.25131171162WSep 21 · 15:35J. Jr2.10611691R. Neterda1.6711811113
J. Martin10
WSep 24 · 18:35J. Martin1.671111113M. Rojka2.107350WSep 24 · 16:35J. Jr2.387790J. Martin1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:35J. Martin2.1012116742R. Neterda1.671041111113WSep 24 · 14:05P. Chvatal1.5314911121J. Martin2.3816114143WSep 23 · 21:45J. Martin1.83111126113M. Chmelicek1.8399111192WSep 23 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.809960J. Martin1.911111113WSep 23 · 19:35M. Jinek2.756116101J. Martin1.4011911123LSep 23 · 18:35J. Martin1.80811111132M. Chmelicek1.91119813113WSep 21 · 21:35J. Martin1.86117118113L. Vosyka1.7491191182WSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101
Upcoming Matches
R. Neterda
Nothing scheduled
J. Martin
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