TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jirasek Martin vs Ladislav Vosyka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711119811118
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 3–3 Ladislav Vosyka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Martin beat Vosyka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (52%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martin 1513 vs Vosyka 1501
Martin
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 80% vs Vosyka 60%
Martin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 50% vs Vosyka 70%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +4 · Vosyka -1
Martin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.86 / Vosyka 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.3pp
TT Cup · #13173274
Martin1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 19 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Vosyka1.74
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 85 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 57 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMartin3wins
AwayVosyka3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartin100%3 of 3
AwayVosyka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin3Vosyka3n = 6split evenly
S2Martin4Vosyka2n = 6Martin took 4 of 6
S3Martin4Vosyka2n = 6Martin took 4 of 6
S4Martin1Vosyka3n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S5Martin1Vosyka2n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMartinVosykaM − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.840.3−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 93 vs 238 / 46250.5%51.5%47 / 93 vs 238 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaMartin 1.86/Vosyka 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 21 · 21:35J. Martin48117118113L. Vosyka4891191182
WSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin3611112123L. Vosyka337511101
LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin46101111862L. Vosyka46126611113
LAug 27 · 20:05J. Martin209290L. Vosyka331111113
LAug 20 · 19:05J. Martin4581112772L. Vosyka521191011113
WAug 16 · 15:35J. Martin381112153L. Vosyka30710130
J. Martin10
WSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101WSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112WSep 21 · 18:05J. Martin1.831111113M. Jinek1.837780WSep 20 · 17:14D. Hons1.6711551182J. Martin2.10511117113LSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072LSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102LSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:05J. Martin1.839116161D. Hons1.8311511183WSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990
L. Vosyka10
LSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101WSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113WSep 21 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.911111113T. Krcil1.804960WSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113LSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113WSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113WSep 21 · 14:35R. Neterda2.38451181L. Vosyka1.5311118113LSep 20 · 21:44M. Chmelicek2.5071111123L. Vosyka1.501199101WSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113WSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113
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