TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Chmelicek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111012119118911
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Chmelicek above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 68.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Martin Chmelicek 5–16 Ladislav Vosyka Martin Chmelicek has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chmelicek 1378 vs Vosyka 1499
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chmelicek 40% vs Vosyka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chmelicek 40% vs Vosyka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chmelicek +2 · Vosyka -3
Vosyka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmelicek 2.63 / Vosyka 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13164477
Chmelicek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Vosyka1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmelicek3wins
AwayVosyka7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmelicek60%3 of 5
AwayVosyka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmelicek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S2Chmelicek2Vosyka8n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S3Chmelicek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Chmelicek2Vosyka5n = 7Vosyka took 5 of 7
S5Chmelicek2Vosyka3n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmelicekVosykaC − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.7−2.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmelicekVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 518 vs 232 / 45246.5%51.3%241 / 518 vs 232 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaChmelicek 2.63/Vosyka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek50910111192L. Vosyka51111298113
LSep 6 · 21:40M. Chmelicek175840L. Vosyka331111113
WSep 6 · 20:05M. Chmelicek46117116113L. Vosyka3551141142
LAug 27 · 18:35M. Chmelicek2210660L. Vosyka341211113
LAug 23 · 21:35M. Chmelicek46111110682L. Vosyka45921211113
LAug 23 · 19:35M. Chmelicek417121391L. Vosyka47111411113
WAug 16 · 19:35M. Chmelicek471110132113L. Vosyka46712111152
LAug 13 · 19:35M. Chmelicek279990L. Vosyka331111113
LAug 12 · 21:15M. Chmelicek4311711952L. Vosyka48811711113
WAug 12 · 19:35M. Chmelicek4716119113L. Vosyka351431171
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 20 · 18:05R. Neterda1.50371161M. Chmelicek2.5011118113WSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:35M. Chmelicek2.7511124542T. Motacek1.405101111113LSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990LSep 19 · 18:35D. Hons1.40111188113M. Chmelicek2.7594111182WSep 18 · 21:18M. Chmelicek1.44111111113M. Dvorak2.63135391LSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.389980M. Chmelicek1.531111113LSep 18 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.73714111162M. Cyrus2.00111685113LSep 18 · 17:10M. Flesar1.5711911113M. Chmelicek2.25411241
L. Vosyka10
WSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123LSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361LSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:35T. Motacek1.911156101L. Vosyka1.8061111123WSep 17 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.5361113143P. Pesout2.3811811121WSep 17 · 13:10R. Neterda1.6781260L. Vosyka2.101114113LSep 17 · 12:35R. Neterda1.6761112133L. Vosyka2.1011510111LSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113LSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920
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