TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145279
Played Sep 17Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61111813111412––
Petr Pesout
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Petr Pesout below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 86 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 64.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 3–2 Petr Pesout Petr Pesout has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:35What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1484 vs Pesout 1380
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Pesout 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Pesout 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Pesout +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.53 / Pesout 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vosyka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13145279
Vosyka1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Pesout2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 40 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVosyka3wins
AwayPesout2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVosyka leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosykan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPesout66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka2Pesout3n = 5Pesout took 3 of 5
S2Vosyka4Pesout1n = 5Vosyka took 4 of 5
S3Vosyka3Pesout2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVosykaPesoutV − PBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.633.2+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaPesoutBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 446 vs 158 / 33951.4%46.6%229 / 446 vs 158 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.53/Pesout 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka2861570P. Pesout391117113
WAug 18 · 17:09L. Vosyka331111113P. Pesout208480
LAug 18 · 16:35L. Vosyka4781181192P. Pesout47116118113
WAug 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka4691115113P. Pesout391161391
WJun 19 · 15:35L. Vosyka341112113P. Pesout2141070
L. Vosyka10
LSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:35T. Motacek1.911156101L. Vosyka1.8061111123WSep 17 · 13:10R. Neterda1.6781260L. Vosyka2.101114113LSep 17 · 12:35R. Neterda1.6761112133L. Vosyka2.1011510111LSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113LSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920WSep 16 · 21:45L. Vosyka1.4411611113M. Cyrus2.63711881WSep 16 · 20:05R. Vavricka1.91511611112L. Vosyka1.80118114133WSep 16 · 19:35R. Jonas2.63611791L. Vosyka1.4411511113WSep 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.5311118113M. Cyrus2.38571171
P. Pesout10
LSep 17 · 17:09P. Pesout2.255790T. Motacek1.571111113WSep 17 · 16:35P. Pesout2.382101111113T. Motacek1.5311128982LSep 17 · 15:05T. Krcil1.83119114113P. Pesout1.8371121122WSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.91114147113P. Pesout1.80811121162WSep 15 · 15:35P. Pesout2.00116811113T. Krcil1.7381111582LSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 13 · 13:40K. Lahodny1.5811911113P. Pesout2.20411481WSep 13 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.80911691P. Pesout1.9111911113WSep 13 · 11:35P. Pesout2.7511118133J. Jr1.405911111
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