TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134170
Played Sep 15Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101171412––––
Petr Pesout
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Pesout to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Petr Pesout below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 66 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Petr Pesout at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 14–11 Petr Pesout Petr Pesout has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Pros
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pros 1395 vs Pesout 1409
Pesout
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pros 40% vs Pesout 60%
Pesout
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pros 30% vs Pesout 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pros -1 · Pesout -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pros) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 1.80 / Pesout 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pros)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13134170
Pros1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 16 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Pesout1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePros4wins
AwayPesout6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPesout leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProsn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPesout66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pros1Pesout9n = 10Pesout took 9 of 10
S2Pros1Pesout9n = 10Pesout took 9 of 10
S3Pros4Pesout6n = 10Pesout took 6 of 10
S4Pros3Pesout2n = 5Pros took 3 of 5
S5Pros4Pesout0n = 4Pros took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricProsPesoutPros − PesoutBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.140.2−6.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsPesoutBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 251 vs 156 / 33545.8%46.6%115 / 251 vs 156 / 335Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsPros 1.80/Pesout 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 17:40O. Pros239860P. Pesout331111113
LAug 7 · 16:35O. Pros4112111261P. Pesout48141310113
LJul 19 · 07:05O. Pros2571080P. Pesout341112113
WJul 7 · 17:10O. Pros46117313123P. Pesout529111111102
WJul 7 · 16:35O. Pros473121110113P. Pesout45111061262
WJun 8 · 15:35O. Pros49781112113P. Pesout48111181082
WJun 1 · 17:40O. Pros48781111113P. Pesout4311116782
LJun 1 · 15:35O. Pros207850P. Pesout331111113
LMay 15 · 16:35O. Pros187560P. Pesout331111113
LMay 8 · 13:10O. Pros249870P. Pesout331111113
O. Pros10
LSep 15 · 15:05O. Pros1.91611281M. Chmelicek1.8011611113LSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113WSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551LSep 8 · 13:05R. Vavricka1.531111113O. Pros2.386390LSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113LSep 8 · 10:05R. Fitl1.331111113O. Pros3.259770LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143
P. Pesout10
WSep 15 · 15:35P. Pesout2.00116811113T. Krcil1.7381111582LSep 13 · 13:40K. Lahodny1.5811911113P. Pesout2.20411481WSep 13 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.80911691P. Pesout1.9111911113WSep 13 · 11:35P. Pesout2.7511118133J. Jr1.405911111LSep 13 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.5361111113P. Pesout2.38117661WSep 12 · 17:04P. Pesout1.731214113R. Hruby2.00101260WSep 12 · 16:05J. Martin1.53911111102P. Pesout2.38111193123LSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout1.8086110T. Motacek1.911111133LSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek1.73111117113P. Pesout2.00891971
Upcoming Matches
O. Pros
Nothing scheduled
P. Pesout
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