TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121144
Played Sep 12Finished
Petr Pesout
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101412116––––
Radek Hruby
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Pesout above · Radek Hruby below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 1-0
Point 49 set 3, 1-0
49 points drawn · the score is 16 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Petr Pesout 5–4 Radek Hruby Radek Hruby has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hruby beat Pesout 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pesout)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruby form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesout 1.73 / Hruby 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pesout)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13121144
Pesout1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Hruby2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePesout5wins
AwayHruby4wins
5 of 9 to a deciderPesout leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesout66.7%2 of 3
AwayHruby50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesout3Hruby6n = 9Hruby took 6 of 9
S2Pesout6Hruby3n = 9Pesout took 6 of 9
S3Pesout2Hruby7n = 9Hruby took 7 of 9
S4Pesout5Hruby2n = 7Pesout took 5 of 7
S5Pesout3Hruby2n = 5Pesout took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPesoutHrubyP − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.241.2−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesoutHrubyBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 330 vs 52 / 13846.4%37.7%153 / 330 vs 52 / 138Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesoutPesout 1.73/Hruby 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Pesout · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pesout won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 12 · 15:35P. Pesout3441141142R. Hruby47119115113
WAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout45131110113R. Hruby381161291
WJul 12 · 17:20P. Pesout45111157113R. Hruby4358111182
WJul 12 · 15:35P. Pesout491111411123R. Hruby48136118102
WMay 24 · 16:05P. Pesout45811114113R. Hruby4311961162
LMay 3 · 17:35P. Pesout93420R. Hruby331111113
LMay 3 · 16:05P. Pesout3111341122R. Hruby48911116113
WMar 15 · 18:50P. Pesout4391112113R. Hruby381191081
LMar 15 · 16:35P. Pesout165380R. Hruby331111113
P. Pesout10
WSep 12 · 16:05J. Martin1.53911111102P. Pesout2.38111193123LSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout1.8086110T. Motacek1.911111133LSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek1.73111117113P. Pesout2.00891971LSep 9 · 16:05P. Pesout1.619390M. Chmelicek2.201111113WSep 9 · 15:05P. Pesout2.101311911133M. Rojka1.67156119112WSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481LSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143
R. Hruby10
LSep 12 · 16:35T. Motacek1.531111113R. Hruby2.383880WSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 12 · 14:05J. Martin1.4061111113R. Hruby2.75114241LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881
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