TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123064
Played Sep 13Finished
Petr Pesout
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151198111311––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeJan Manhal Jr to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Pesout above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jan Manhal Jr at 67.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Petr Pesout 0–2 Jan Manhal Jr Petr Pesout has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pesout 1389 vs Jr 1411
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesout 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesout 40% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesout -1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesout 2.75 / Jr 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Jr)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13123064
Pesout2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Jr1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePesout0wins
AwayJr2wins
Jr leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPesoutJrP − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.040.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesoutJrBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 332 vs 22 / 5146.4%43.1%154 / 332 vs 22 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrPesout 2.75/Jr 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pesout won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 15 · 09:09P. Pesout33711691J. Jr4011711113
LAug 7 · 15:05P. Pesout27311491J. Jr4011711113
P. Pesout10
LSep 13 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.5361111113P. Pesout2.38117661WSep 12 · 17:04P. Pesout1.731214113R. Hruby2.00101260WSep 12 · 16:05J. Martin1.53911111102P. Pesout2.38111193123LSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout1.8086110T. Motacek1.911111133LSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek1.73111117113P. Pesout2.00891971LSep 9 · 16:05P. Pesout1.619390M. Chmelicek2.201111113WSep 9 · 15:05P. Pesout2.101311911133M. Rojka1.67156119112WSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481LSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113
J. Jr10
LSep 13 · 10:35J. Jr1.80911631M. Chmelicek1.9111811113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Jr2.101112113R. Vavricka1.6721060LSep 13 · 08:35J. Jr1.73129481M. Chmelicek2.00101111113WSep 13 · 07:05R. Neterda1.8361112762J. Jr1.831151011113WSep 13 · 06:35R. Vavricka1.57101171162J. Jr2.25129116113WSep 12 · 13:07M. Chmelicek1.33111011182J. Jr3.25412117113LSep 12 · 12:05K. Lahodny2.251112163J. Jr1.57810140WSep 12 · 11:35T. Motacek2.0011611652J. Jr1.73711911113LSep 12 · 10:35J. Jr1.738680M. Chmelicek2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:10R. Vavricka1.671215113J. Jr2.10101350
Upcoming Matches
P. Pesout
J. Jr
Nothing scheduled
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