TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13147734
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Pesout
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711911––––
Tomas Motacek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Pesout above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Pesout 3–3 Tomas Motacek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Motacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesout 2.25 / Motacek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Motacek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13147734
Pesout2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 40 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Motacek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 7 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePesout3wins
AwayMotacek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesoutn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMotacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesout2Motacek4n = 6Motacek took 4 of 6
S2Pesout4Motacek2n = 6Pesout took 4 of 6
S3Pesout1Motacek5n = 6Motacek took 5 of 6
S4Pesout2Motacek3n = 5Motacek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPesoutMotacekP − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.842.5−5.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesoutMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 342 vs 19 / 3546.5%54.3%159 / 342 vs 19 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MotacekPesout 2.25/Motacek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Motacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Motacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 17 · 16:35P. Pesout452101111113T. Motacek4811128982
LSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout2586110T. Motacek351111133
WSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout45111112113T. Motacek39981481
LSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout33611881T. Motacek4111811113
WSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout45111247113T. Motacek50910111192
LAug 29 · 14:05P. Pesout28611651T. Motacek4211911113
P. Pesout10
WSep 17 · 16:35P. Pesout2.382101111113T. Motacek1.5311128982LSep 17 · 15:05T. Krcil1.83119114113P. Pesout1.8371121122LSep 17 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.5361113143P. Pesout2.3811811121WSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.91114147113P. Pesout1.80811121162WSep 15 · 15:35P. Pesout2.00116811113T. Krcil1.7381111582LSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 13 · 13:40K. Lahodny1.5811911113P. Pesout2.20411481WSep 13 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.80911691P. Pesout1.9111911113WSep 13 · 11:35P. Pesout2.7511118133J. Jr1.405911111
T. Motacek10
LSep 17 · 16:35P. Pesout2.382101111113T. Motacek1.5311128982LSep 17 · 15:35T. Motacek1.911156101L. Vosyka1.8061111123WSep 17 · 14:05T. Krcil2.00117121182T. Motacek1.73811147113WSep 12 · 17:34T. Motacek1.8391111113J. Martin1.83119371WSep 12 · 16:35T. Motacek1.531111113R. Hruby2.383880WSep 12 · 15:05J. Martin1.57128991T. Motacek2.25101111113WSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout1.8086110T. Motacek1.911111133LSep 12 · 13:35K. Lahodny1.531311113T. Motacek2.3811370WSep 12 · 12:35M. Chmelicek2.004970T. Motacek1.731111113LSep 12 · 11:35T. Motacek2.0011611652J. Jr1.73711911113
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