Tomas Krcil vs Tomas Motacek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13145252

Played Sep 17Finished

Tomas Krcil

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1187111214117811

Tomas Motacek

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Tomas Motacek to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Tomas Motacek below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 11-7

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Motacek at 54.0%

100 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:26

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Motacek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Krcil 1407 vs Motacek 1472

Motacek

Correct

both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Krcil 40% vs Motacek 80%

Motacek

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Krcil 50% vs Motacek 70%

Motacek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Krcil +2 · Motacek +4

Motacek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Motacek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Motacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKrcil 2.00 / Motacek 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Motacek)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #13145252

Krcil2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog54% won 22 of 41

Down 0–1, comes back30% 7 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12

Motacek1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite54% won 7 of 13

Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKrcilMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 283 vs 18 / 3251.2%56.3%145 / 283 vs 18 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Motacek

Krcil 2.00/Motacek 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Motacek · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Motacek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Krcil10