TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71113119111161012
Jan Kabelka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 6–3 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:11What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1504 vs Kabelka 1431
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Kabelka 100%
Kabelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Kabelka 70%
Kabelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -2 · Kabelka +6
Kabelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.44 / Kabelka 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13163203
Vosyka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Kabelka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 50 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayKabelka3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka83.3%5 of 6
AwayKabelka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka6Kabelka3n = 9Vosyka took 6 of 9
S2Vosyka5Kabelka4n = 9Vosyka took 5 of 9
S3Vosyka6Kabelka3n = 9Vosyka took 6 of 9
S4Vosyka4Kabelka1n = 5Vosyka took 4 of 5
S5Vosyka1Kabelka2n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricVosykaKabelkaV − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.333.4+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 450 vs 133 / 27251.3%48.9%231 / 450 vs 133 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.44/Kabelka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka341211113J. Kabelka1910720
WSep 1 · 19:35L. Vosyka4211811123J. Kabelka399119101
WAug 25 · 20:05L. Vosyka49781112113J. Kabelka49111181092
LAug 20 · 20:35L. Vosyka215970J. Kabelka331111113
LAug 16 · 21:14L. Vosyka51119131082J. Kabelka538111112113
WAug 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka43111110113J. Kabelka27651241
WAug 13 · 18:35L. Vosyka331111113J. Kabelka135530
LAug 12 · 18:35L. Vosyka3951171152J. Kabelka49117119113
WJun 14 · 19:05L. Vosyka331111113J. Kabelka196760
L. Vosyka10
WSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113LSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361LSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:35T. Motacek1.911156101L. Vosyka1.8061111123WSep 17 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.5361113143P. Pesout2.3811811121WSep 17 · 13:10R. Neterda1.6781260L. Vosyka2.101114113LSep 17 · 12:35R. Neterda1.6761112133L. Vosyka2.1011510111LSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113LSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920WSep 16 · 21:45L. Vosyka1.4411611113M. Cyrus2.63711881
J. Kabelka10
WSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113WSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680WSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182WSep 18 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.7318118113M. Dvorak2.001671151WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180
Upcoming Matches
L. Vosyka
Nothing scheduled
J. Kabelka
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