TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315118711711––
Jan Kabelka
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 83 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radek Neterda at 69.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 3–0 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Neterda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Neterda
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1523 vs Kabelka 1431
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 40% vs Kabelka 100%
Kabelka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 40% vs Kabelka 70%
Kabelka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -1 · Kabelka +6
Kabelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.40 / Kabelka 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Neterda)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13164474
Neterda1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Kabelka2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 50 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNeterda3wins
AwayKabelka0wins
Neterda leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda100%3 of 3
AwayKabelkan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda3Kabelka0n = 3Neterda took 3 of 3
S2Neterda3Kabelka0n = 3Neterda took 3 of 3
S3Neterda3Kabelka0n = 3Neterda took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNeterdaKabelkaN − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.318.7+15.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 425 vs 133 / 27250.6%48.9%215 / 425 vs 133 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.40/Kabelka 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 26 · 19:35R. Neterda361111143J. Kabelka2264120
WFeb 12 · 19:35R. Neterda341112113J. Kabelka2391040
WFeb 8 · 19:35R. Neterda331111113J. Kabelka115330
R. Neterda10
LSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113LSep 20 · 18:05R. Neterda1.50371161M. Chmelicek2.5011118113WSep 19 · 13:10R. Neterda1.3611116113M. Flesar2.90731161LSep 19 · 12:05R. Neterda2.206470J. Ruzicka1.611111113WSep 19 · 11:05R. Neterda1.801111113M. Flesar1.915410LSep 19 · 10:05R. Neterda1.5731111672J. Jr2.25119911113LSep 17 · 13:10R. Neterda1.6781260L. Vosyka2.101114113WSep 17 · 12:35R. Neterda1.6761112133L. Vosyka2.1011510111LSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73126127113R. Neterda2.001011101182LSep 17 · 10:35O. Pros1.8011711113R. Neterda1.91811451
J. Kabelka10
WSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123WSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680WSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182WSep 18 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.7318118113M. Dvorak2.001671151WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180
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