TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145417
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711114115––
Radek Neterda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Radek Neterda at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 8–2 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Pros
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pros 1397 vs Neterda 1584
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pros 20% vs Neterda 100%
Neterda
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pros 30% vs Neterda 70%
Neterda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pros -3 · Neterda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 1.80 / Neterda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Neterda)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13145417
Pros1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 17 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Neterda1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePros8wins
AwayNeterda2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPros leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePros100%6 of 6
AwayNeterda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pros6Neterda4n = 10Pros took 6 of 10
S2Pros8Neterda2n = 10Pros took 8 of 10
S3Pros5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S4Pros5Neterda2n = 7Pros took 5 of 7
S5Pros3Neterda1n = 4Pros took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProsNeterdaP − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.438.6+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 255 vs 212 / 41645.5%51%116 / 255 vs 212 / 416Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaPros 1.80/Neterda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:20O. Pros50711812123R. Neterda511191110102
WSep 1 · 12:35O. Pros49121313113R. Neterda4510111591
WAug 4 · 12:35O. Pros331111113R. Neterda198920
WJun 28 · 18:05O. Pros531112118113R. Neterda49131081172
WJun 15 · 10:35O. Pros351113113R. Neterda2591150
WMar 13 · 14:05O. Pros561191014123R. Neterda505111212102
LMar 13 · 12:35O. Pros46511611132R. Neterda54118119153
WFeb 21 · 14:40O. Pros331111113R. Neterda226970
LDec 26 · 13:35O. Pros28911261R. Neterda4111811113
WDec 17 · 13:35O. Pros4111811113R. Neterda30711751
O. Pros10
WSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113LSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:05O. Pros1.91611281M. Chmelicek1.8011611113WSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113WSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551
R. Neterda10
LSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73126127113R. Neterda2.001011101182WSep 16 · 17:44R. Neterda1.671111133J. Jr2.1075110WSep 16 · 16:05R. Neterda1.831061111113L. Vana1.8312116682WSep 16 · 15:05R. Neterda1.5011711113M. Chmelicek2.50611651WSep 16 · 14:05R. Neterda1.911111113J. Jr1.806850WSep 15 · 13:50J. Joksch1.571198101R. Neterda2.2591111123LSep 15 · 12:35R. Pokorny1.801111138113R. Neterda1.9156151172WSep 15 · 11:35R. Neterda1.8012811133R. Fitl1.9110119111LSep 15 · 10:05J. Joksch1.50971111113R. Neterda2.5011118662WSep 13 · 09:10R. Neterda1.44123911123M. Chmelicek2.601011118102
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