TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139315
Played Sep 16Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012611116116118
Lubomir Vana
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Lubomir Vana below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Radek Neterda at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 0–1 Lubomir Vana Radek Neterda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1543 vs Vana 1470
Neterda
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 80% vs Vana 60%
Neterda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 60% vs Vana 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda +3 · Vana -1
Neterda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.83 / Vana 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Neterda)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13139315
Neterda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vana1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNeterda0wins
AwayVana1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVana leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNeterdaVanaN − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 414 vs 29 / 6450.7%45.3%210 / 414 vs 29 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.83/Vana 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LFeb 28 · 20:05R. Neterda49711111192L. Vana47111357113
R. Neterda10
WSep 16 · 15:05R. Neterda1.5011711113M. Chmelicek2.50611651WSep 16 · 14:05R. Neterda1.911111113J. Jr1.806850WSep 15 · 13:50J. Joksch1.571198101R. Neterda2.2591111123LSep 15 · 12:35R. Pokorny1.801111138113R. Neterda1.9156151172WSep 15 · 11:35R. Neterda1.8012811133R. Fitl1.9110119111LSep 15 · 10:05J. Joksch1.50971111113R. Neterda2.5011118662WSep 13 · 09:10R. Neterda1.44123911123M. Chmelicek2.601011118102LSep 13 · 08:05R. Neterda1.8047111172R. Vavricka1.91111139113LSep 13 · 07:05R. Neterda1.8361112762J. Jr1.831151011113WSep 13 · 06:05R. Neterda1.441116113M. Chmelicek2.6361480
L. Vana10
LSep 16 · 17:14M. Chmelicek1.571112113L. Vana2.2581080LSep 16 · 15:35J. Jr1.83115711123L. Vana1.83811119102LSep 16 · 14:35L. Vana1.802680M. Chmelicek1.911111113WMar 26 · 22:35L. Vosyka—115119102L. Vana—511511123WMar 26 · 21:35J. Vidourek2.14117971L. Vana1.6141111113LMar 26 · 20:35L. Vana—11150L. Vosyka—1311113WMar 26 · 19:05R. Pokorny—31191272L. Vana—1161110113WMar 24 · 22:10J. Vidourek—10131211112L. Vana—1211148133LMar 24 · 21:35L. Vana1.7878150M. Chmelicek1.901111173LMar 24 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.811111113L. Vana1.868720
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