TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139340
Played Sep 16Finished
Jan Manhal Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1185117111191210
Lubomir Vana
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLubomir Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Lubomir Vana below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Lubomir Vana at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jr 1392 vs Vana 1470
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Vana 60%
Vana
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Vana 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Vana -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Vana 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vana)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13139340
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vana1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 55 vs 29 / 6441.8%45.3%23 / 55 vs 29 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaJr 1.83/Vana 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Jr10
LSep 16 · 14:05R. Neterda1.911111113J. Jr1.806850LSep 13 · 13:10M. Chmelicek1.806121112113J. Jr1.91111061492WSep 13 · 12:05K. Lahodny1.53781151J. Jr2.3811115113LSep 13 · 11:35P. Pesout2.7511118133J. Jr1.405911111LSep 13 · 10:35J. Jr1.80911631M. Chmelicek1.9111811113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Jr2.101112113R. Vavricka1.6721060LSep 13 · 08:35J. Jr1.73129481M. Chmelicek2.00101111113WSep 13 · 07:05R. Neterda1.8361112762J. Jr1.831151011113WSep 13 · 06:35R. Vavricka1.57101171162J. Jr2.25129116113WSep 12 · 13:07M. Chmelicek1.33111011182J. Jr3.25412117113
L. Vana10
LSep 16 · 16:05R. Neterda1.831061111113L. Vana1.8312116682LSep 16 · 14:35L. Vana1.802680M. Chmelicek1.911111113WMar 26 · 22:35L. Vosyka—115119102L. Vana—511511123WMar 26 · 21:35J. Vidourek2.14117971L. Vana1.6141111113LMar 26 · 20:35L. Vana—11150L. Vosyka—1311113WMar 26 · 19:05R. Pokorny—31191272L. Vana—1161110113WMar 24 · 22:10J. Vidourek—10131211112L. Vana—1211148133LMar 24 · 21:35L. Vana1.7878150M. Chmelicek1.901111173LMar 24 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.811111113L. Vana1.868720WMar 24 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.02711841L. Vana1.6811811113
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