TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135211
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Joksch
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199118111012––
Radek Neterda
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 63.2%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Joksch 1–0 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Joksch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Joksch 1782 vs Neterda 1509
Joksch
Wrong
both rated, 273 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Joksch 100% vs Neterda 40%
Joksch
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Joksch 80% vs Neterda 60%
Joksch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Joksch +5 · Neterda -1
Joksch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Joksch) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Joksch form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJoksch 1.57 / Neterda 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Joksch)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13135211
Joksch1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 23 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Neterda2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJoksch1wins
AwayNeterda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJoksch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJokschNeterdaJ − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.042.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokschNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 113 vs 207 / 41153.1%50.4%60 / 113 vs 207 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschJoksch 1.57/Neterda 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 15 · 10:05J. Joksch49971111113R. Neterda4211118662
J. Joksch10
WSep 15 · 12:05J. Joksch1.441112123R. Fitl2.63510100WSep 15 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361311113R. Pokorny3.0011660WSep 15 · 10:05J. Joksch1.50971111113R. Neterda2.5011118662WSep 14 · 13:35J. Joksch1.4411813143R. Vosyka2.6391111121WSep 14 · 12:05J. Joksch1.4011119113R. Fitl2.75561131WSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch1.501111113R. Vosyka2.505860LSep 14 · 10:05J. Joksch1.22111211982R. Pokorny4.001310911113WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113
R. Neterda10
LSep 15 · 12:35R. Pokorny1.801111138113R. Neterda1.9156151172WSep 15 · 11:35R. Neterda1.8012811133R. Fitl1.9110119111LSep 15 · 10:05J. Joksch1.50971111113R. Neterda2.5011118662WSep 13 · 09:10R. Neterda1.44123911123M. Chmelicek2.601011118102LSep 13 · 08:05R. Neterda1.8047111172R. Vavricka1.91111139113LSep 13 · 07:05R. Neterda1.8361112762J. Jr1.831151011113WSep 13 · 06:05R. Neterda1.441116113M. Chmelicek2.6361480WSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl1.5312651182R. Neterda2.381011114113WSep 11 · 12:05R. Neterda2.20771111113R. Fnukal1.6111114882WSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662
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