TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145648
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012511116811––
Ondrej Pros
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 63.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 2–1 Ondrej Pros Ondrej Pros has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1664 vs Pros 1448
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Pros 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Pros 50%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Pros +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.36 / Pros 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13145648
Ruzicka1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it85% 64 of 75
Pros3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRuzicka2wins
AwayPros1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRuzicka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka1Pros2n = 3Pros took 2 of 3
S2Ruzicka0Pros3n = 3Pros took 3 of 3
S3Ruzicka3Pros0n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
S4Ruzicka2Pros1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRuzickaProsR − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.334.7+7.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 427 vs 119 / 25852.2%46.1%223 / 427 vs 119 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.36/Pros 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka341051181O. Pros4012116113
WAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka51991111113O. Pros3911118542
WJul 28 · 10:05J. Ruzicka4211911113O. Pros25811241
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73126127113R. Neterda2.001011101182WSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920LSep 12 · 09:38R. Fitl2.10111213113J. Ruzicka1.677141151LSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143WSep 12 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.44111111113J. Jr2.63139891WSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152WSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113
O. Pros10
WSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113WSep 17 · 10:35O. Pros1.8011711113R. Neterda1.91811451LSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:05O. Pros1.91611281M. Chmelicek1.8011611113WSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113WSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551
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