TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Chmelicek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111191191210––
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Chmelicek above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10
80 points played in total.
H2H Martin Chmelicek 5–16 Ladislav Vosyka Martin Chmelicek has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmelicek 2.50 / Vosyka 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13166763
Chmelicek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Vosyka1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmelicek3wins
AwayVosyka7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmelicek60%3 of 5
AwayVosyka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmelicek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S2Chmelicek2Vosyka8n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S3Chmelicek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Chmelicek2Vosyka5n = 7Vosyka took 5 of 7
S5Chmelicek2Vosyka3n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmelicekVosykaC − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.7−2.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmelicekVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 519 vs 233 / 45346.6%51.4%242 / 519 vs 233 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaChmelicek 2.50/Vosyka 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek50910111192L. Vosyka51111298113
LSep 6 · 21:40M. Chmelicek175840L. Vosyka331111113
WSep 6 · 20:05M. Chmelicek46117116113L. Vosyka3551141142
LAug 27 · 18:35M. Chmelicek2210660L. Vosyka341211113
LAug 23 · 21:35M. Chmelicek46111110682L. Vosyka45921211113
LAug 23 · 19:35M. Chmelicek417121391L. Vosyka47111411113
WAug 16 · 19:35M. Chmelicek471110132113L. Vosyka46712111152
LAug 13 · 19:35M. Chmelicek279990L. Vosyka331111113
LAug 12 · 21:15M. Chmelicek4311711952L. Vosyka48811711113
WAug 12 · 19:35M. Chmelicek4716119113L. Vosyka351431171
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113LSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113WSep 20 · 18:05R. Neterda1.50371161M. Chmelicek2.5011118113WSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:35M. Chmelicek2.7511124542T. Motacek1.405101111113LSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990LSep 19 · 18:35D. Hons1.40111188113M. Chmelicek2.7594111182WSep 18 · 21:18M. Chmelicek1.44111111113M. Dvorak2.63135391LSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.389980M. Chmelicek1.531111113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113WSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123LSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361LSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:35T. Motacek1.911156101L. Vosyka1.8061111123WSep 17 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.5361113143P. Pesout2.3811811121WSep 17 · 13:10R. Neterda1.6781260L. Vosyka2.101114113LSep 17 · 12:35R. Neterda1.6761112133L. Vosyka2.1011510111LSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113
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