TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
David Hons
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115511511117811
Jirasek Martin
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 85 set 5, 8-11
85 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 5–4 Jirasek Martin Jirasek Martin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hons)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 1.67 / Martin 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hons)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13165846
Hons1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 60 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Martin2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHons5wins
AwayMartin4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHons leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons66.7%4 of 6
AwayMartin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons6Martin3n = 9Hons took 6 of 9
S2Hons3Martin6n = 9Martin took 6 of 9
S3Hons4Martin5n = 9Martin took 5 of 9
S4Hons3Martin5n = 8Martin took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricHonsMartinH − MBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.639.2−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 513 vs 42 / 8851.1%47.7%262 / 513 vs 42 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsHons 1.67/Martin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons45311118123J. Martin44115711102
WSep 19 · 20:05D. Hons4511511183J. Martin429116161
WSep 11 · 21:35D. Hons481111105113J. Martin4559121182
LSep 11 · 20:35D. Hons28118361J. Martin3961111113
WSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons3813311113J. Martin321111461
LAug 8 · 10:35D. Hons29921171J. Martin4111118113
LAug 8 · 06:35D. Hons35116991J. Martin4291111113
LAug 7 · 21:09D. Hons2581070J. Martin341112113
WAug 7 · 20:05D. Hons45131110113J. Martin341171241
D. Hons10
LSep 20 · 16:05D. Hons2.008940J. Lovl1.731111113LSep 20 · 15:05D. Hons2.2510111181R. Fnukal1.5712139113WSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102WSep 19 · 21:40D. Hons1.80119511143T. Motacek1.91711118122WSep 19 · 20:05J. Martin1.839116161D. Hons1.8311511183WSep 19 · 19:35T. Motacek2.0012611942D. Hons1.731011511113WSep 19 · 18:35D. Hons1.40111188113M. Chmelicek2.7594111182WSep 19 · 09:33J. Ruzicka1.6112118101D. Hons2.20101311123WSep 19 · 08:35M. Flesar3.5010710D. Hons1.281211113WSep 19 · 07:35D. Hons2.2091111113J. Lovl1.61116681
J. Martin10
LSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072LSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102LSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:05J. Martin1.839116161D. Hons1.8311511183WSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990LSep 19 · 18:05J. Martin2.004800T. Motacek1.731111113LSep 12 · 17:34T. Motacek1.8391111113J. Martin1.83119371LSep 12 · 16:05J. Martin1.53911111102P. Pesout2.38111193123LSep 12 · 15:05J. Martin1.57128991T. Motacek2.25101111113
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