TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158703
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121011138111012––
David Hons
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 87 set 4, 10-12
87 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 20–14 David Hons David Hons has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Ruzicka beat Hons 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.61 / Hons 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Ruzicka)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13158703
Ruzicka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 84 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it86% 67 of 78
Hons2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka8wins
AwayHons2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%5 of 5
AwayHons40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka7Hons3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Hons4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka4Hons0n = 4Ruzicka took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaHonsR − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.229.6+6.6per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 431 vs 256 / 50552.7%50.7%227 / 431 vs 256 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.61/Hons 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:05J. Ruzicka49811811113D. Hons4111511952
WAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka351111133D. Hons2797110
WAug 20 · 17:35J. Ruzicka331111113D. Hons176560
LAug 20 · 16:35J. Ruzicka185850D. Hons331111113
WAug 8 · 11:05J. Ruzicka331111113D. Hons226790
WAug 8 · 07:05J. Ruzicka44111111113D. Hons31133961
LJul 28 · 12:05J. Ruzicka2710890D. Hons341211113
WJul 1 · 19:05J. Ruzicka4011711113D. Hons31911471
WJun 30 · 14:35J. Ruzicka507111011113D. Hons3511312542
WJun 27 · 09:15J. Ruzicka331111113D. Hons259790
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 19 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.331111113M. Flesar3.257290WSep 19 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.8311511113J. Lovl1.83911251WSep 19 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.3611116113M. Flesar3.00571181WSep 19 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.61811811113D. Hons2.2011511952WSep 17 · 13:39O. Pros2.2064110J. Ruzicka1.611111133LSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73126127113R. Neterda2.001011101182WSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920LSep 12 · 09:38R. Fitl2.10111213113J. Ruzicka1.677141151LSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143
D. Hons10
WSep 19 · 08:35M. Flesar3.5010710D. Hons1.281211113WSep 19 · 07:35D. Hons2.2091111113J. Lovl1.61116681LSep 19 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.61811811113D. Hons2.2011511952WSep 18 · 17:40T. Motacek1.731196101D. Hons2.0061111123WSep 18 · 16:05M. Flesar2.381110961D. Hons1.5321211113LSep 18 · 15:35T. Motacek2.0011611113D. Hons1.73611621WSep 18 · 14:35D. Hons1.441112163M. Chmelicek2.63810140LSep 16 · 13:40D. Hons2.20117871R. Vosyka1.6181111113WSep 16 · 12:35D. Hons1.50111110113M. Chmelicek2.50711281LSep 16 · 11:05R. Vosyka1.576111215113D. Hons2.25119101732
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.