TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13146737
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111113––––
Jan Ruzicka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Jan Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13
56 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 1–2 Jan Ruzicka Ondrej Pros has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pros beat Ruzicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 2.20 / Ruzicka 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13146737
Pros2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Ruzicka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it85% 64 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePros1wins
AwayRuzicka2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRuzicka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pros2Ruzicka1n = 3Pros took 2 of 3
S2Pros3Ruzicka0n = 3Pros took 3 of 3
S3Pros0Ruzicka3n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
S4Pros1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricProsRuzickaP − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.742.3−7.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 258 vs 223 / 42746.1%52.2%119 / 258 vs 223 / 427Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaPros 2.20/Ruzicka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 12:05O. Pros4012116113J. Ruzicka341051181
LAug 27 · 15:05O. Pros3911118542J. Ruzicka51991111113
LJul 28 · 10:05O. Pros25811241J. Ruzicka4211911113
O. Pros10
WSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113WSep 17 · 10:35O. Pros1.8011711113R. Neterda1.91811451LSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113LSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:05O. Pros1.91611281M. Chmelicek1.8011611113WSep 15 · 14:05O. Pros1.801211143P. Pesout1.91107120LSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113WSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73126127113R. Neterda2.001011101182WSep 17 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.671111113L. Vosyka2.104920LSep 12 · 09:38R. Fitl2.10111213113J. Ruzicka1.677141151LSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143WSep 12 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.44111111113J. Jr2.63139891WSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152WSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123
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