TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171152111210––
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 69 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 60.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–3 Ladislav Vosyka Jirasek Martin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martin 1475 vs Vosyka 1539
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 60% vs Vosyka 80%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 40% vs Vosyka 70%
Vosyka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +3 · Vosyka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 2.20 / Vosyka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13168732
Martin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 19 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Vosyka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 85 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 57 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartin1wins
AwayVosyka3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderVosyka leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVosyka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin1Vosyka3n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S2Martin3Vosyka1n = 4Martin took 3 of 4
S3Martin3Vosyka1n = 4Martin took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartinVosykaM − VBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.240.2−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 91 vs 238 / 46049.5%51.7%45 / 91 vs 238 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaMartin 2.20/Vosyka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin46101111862L. Vosyka46126611113
LAug 27 · 20:05J. Martin209290L. Vosyka331111113
LAug 20 · 19:05J. Martin4581112772L. Vosyka521191011113
WAug 16 · 15:35J. Martin381112153L. Vosyka30710130
J. Martin10
WSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112WSep 21 · 18:05J. Martin1.831111113M. Jinek1.837780WSep 20 · 17:14D. Hons1.6711551182J. Martin2.10511117113LSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072LSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102LSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:05J. Martin1.839116161D. Hons1.8311511183WSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990LSep 19 · 18:05J. Martin2.004800T. Motacek1.731111113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113WSep 21 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.911111113T. Krcil1.804960WSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113LSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113WSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113WSep 21 · 14:35R. Neterda2.38451181L. Vosyka1.5311118113LSep 20 · 21:44M. Chmelicek2.5071111123L. Vosyka1.501199101WSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113WSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123
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