TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119116––––
Tomas Krcil
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 4–6 Tomas Krcil Ladislav Vosyka has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 09:40What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Krcil
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1521 vs Krcil 1455
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Krcil 80%
Krcil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Krcil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Krcil +3
Krcil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.91 / Krcil 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13168740
Vosyka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Krcil1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayKrcil6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrcil leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka60%3 of 5
AwayKrcil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Krcil5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka7Krcil3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Vosyka4Krcil6n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka3Krcil5n = 8Krcil took 5 of 8
S5Vosyka1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaKrcilV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.237.4+0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 458 vs 148 / 28751.5%51.6%236 / 458 vs 148 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.91/Krcil 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 17:40L. Vosyka29911361T. Krcil4211911113
LSep 17 · 16:05L. Vosyka521112811102T. Krcil47414116123
LSep 10 · 20:35L. Vosyka4481161182T. Krcil44117114113
WSep 1 · 18:35L. Vosyka49111179113T. Krcil4797111192
LAug 24 · 20:35L. Vosyka30116761T. Krcil4291111113
LJul 8 · 18:05L. Vosyka4110129101T. Krcil45121011123
WFeb 23 · 18:05L. Vosyka331111113T. Krcil177370
WFeb 23 · 15:05L. Vosyka331111113T. Krcil187560
WFeb 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka3631111113T. Krcil34119771
LFeb 2 · 19:05L. Vosyka35691191T. Krcil3811115113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113LSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113WSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113WSep 21 · 14:35R. Neterda2.38451181L. Vosyka1.5311118113LSep 20 · 21:44M. Chmelicek2.5071111123L. Vosyka1.501199101WSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113WSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123LSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361LSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102
T. Krcil10
LSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112WSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361WSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:05T. Krcil1.83119114113P. Pesout1.8371121122LSep 17 · 14:05T. Krcil2.00117121182T. Motacek1.73811147113WSep 15 · 17:40M. Chmelicek1.8376111172T. Krcil1.83111195113WSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:35P. Pesout2.00116811113T. Krcil1.7381111582LSep 15 · 14:35T. Krcil1.83116751M. Chmelicek1.8351111113LSep 14 · 21:35M. Rojka1.731111113T. Krcil2.005290
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