TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Matyas Jinek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeMatyas Jinek to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Matyas Jinek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Matyas Jinek at 59.1%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jinek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Martin 1454 vs Jinek 1339
Martin
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 20% vs Jinek 40%
Jinek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 20% vs Jinek 40%
Jinek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Jinek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jinek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jinek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.83 / Jinek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jinek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13168500
Martin1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Jinek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 125 days ago (May 19) · back after a break
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinJinekBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 89 vs 6 / 2148.3%28.6%43 / 89 vs 6 / 21Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JinekMartin 1.83/Jinek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jinek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Martin10
WSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112WSep 20 · 17:14D. Hons1.6711551182J. Martin2.10511117113LSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072LSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102LSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113LSep 19 · 20:05J. Martin1.839116161D. Hons1.8311511183WSep 19 · 19:05J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.105990LSep 19 · 18:05J. Martin2.004800T. Motacek1.731111113LSep 12 · 17:34T. Motacek1.8391111113J. Martin1.83119371
M. Jinek10
LSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113LMay 19 · 18:35M. Jinek—811111162L. Marhefka.—118613113WApr 19 · 21:25M. Jinek—681111113M. Jirasek—11116852WApr 19 · 20:35M. Jirasek—141277122M. Jinek—12101111143LApr 19 · 19:35M. Jinek—9960L. Vosyka—1111113LApr 19 · 18:05M. Sokol—1211113M. Jinek—10470LApr 13 · 21:10V. Kaisler—11148113M. Jinek—6121171WApr 13 · 20:35M. Jinek—81111153J. Vidourek—1193131LApr 13 · 19:05M. Jirasek—1111108113M. Jinek—49121142LApr 13 · 18:35V. Kaisler—1111113M. Jinek—2890
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
Nothing scheduled
M. Jinek
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