TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61112141210311––
Radek Neterda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 79 set 4, 3-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 18–15 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.80 / Neterda 1.91
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13172062
Ruzicka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 70 of 83
Neterda1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka6wins
AwayNeterda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka85.7%6 of 7
AwayNeterda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka7Neterda3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka7Neterda3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Neterda4n = 6Neterda took 4 of 6
S5Ruzicka2Neterda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaNeterdaR − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.3+3.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 443 vs 217 / 43152.4%50.4%232 / 443 vs 217 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.80/Neterda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 16:05J. Ruzicka54159118113R. Neterda48131171162
WSep 19 · 12:05J. Ruzicka331111113R. Neterda176470
WSep 17 · 11:05J. Ruzicka48126127113R. Neterda501011101182
LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka47111175132R. Neterda50761111153
WAug 30 · 13:45J. Ruzicka4211128113R. Neterda347101161
LAug 30 · 11:05J. Ruzicka2999110R. Neterda351111133
WAug 15 · 16:35J. Ruzicka331111113R. Neterda199820
WJul 30 · 15:35J. Ruzicka331111113R. Neterda229850
LJul 25 · 12:35J. Ruzicka27461161R. Neterda3711114113
LJul 15 · 12:35J. Ruzicka481061111102R. Neterda51121188123
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 21 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57159118113R. Neterda2.25131171162LSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113LSep 21 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.4481171262J. Jr2.631141110113WSep 20 · 09:08S. Vyskocil1.7311116101J. Ruzicka2.0013911123LSep 20 · 08:35T. Trnka2.1011811113J. Ruzicka1.67911181LSep 20 · 07:35J. Ruzicka1.9111911962S. Vyskocil1.80811711113LSep 20 · 06:05O. Polak1.401111113J. Ruzicka2.757790WSep 19 · 13:40J. Jr2.50119881J. Ruzicka1.5071111113WSep 19 · 12:05R. Neterda2.206470J. Ruzicka1.611111113LSep 19 · 11:35J. Jr2.63511611123J. Ruzicka1.44118117102
R. Neterda10
LSep 21 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57159118113R. Neterda2.25131171162WSep 21 · 15:35J. Jr2.10611691R. Neterda1.6711811113LSep 21 · 14:35R. Neterda2.38451181L. Vosyka1.5311118113WSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:05R. Neterda1.833650L. Vosyka1.831111113LSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113LSep 20 · 18:05R. Neterda1.50371161M. Chmelicek2.5011118113WSep 19 · 13:10R. Neterda1.3611116113M. Flesar2.90731161LSep 19 · 12:05R. Neterda2.206470J. Ruzicka1.611111113WSep 19 · 11:05R. Neterda1.801111113M. Flesar1.915410
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