TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Matyas Jinek vs Jirasek Martin 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Matyas Jinek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111196111012––
Jirasek Martin
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Jinek above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 66.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Jinek 0–1 Jirasek Martin Matyas Jinek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Martin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jinek 1251 vs Martin 1489
Martin
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jinek 20% vs Martin 80%
Martin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jinek 10% vs Martin 50%
Martin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jinek -4 · Martin -1
Jinek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jinek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJinek 2.75 / Martin 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Martin)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13183957
Jinek2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Martin1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 19 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJinek0wins
AwayMartin1wins
Martin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricJinekMartinJ − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.033.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJinekMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 30 vs 47 / 9423.3%50%7 / 30 vs 47 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinJinek 2.75/Martin 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 18:05M. Jinek227780J. Martin331111113
M. Jinek10
LSep 23 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.3671111113M. Jinek3.00115781LSep 22 · 21:05M. Jinek2.63117951L. Vosyka1.4471111113LSep 22 · 20:35M. Chmelicek1.301113113M. Jinek3.4061130LSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113WSep 22 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.22615711102M. Jinek4.001113116123LSep 21 · 21:05T. Krcil1.441111113M. Jinek2.637970LSep 21 · 20:35T. Krcil2.001111113M. Jinek1.739580LSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113LSep 21 · 18:05J. Martin1.831111113M. Jinek1.837780LMay 19 · 18:35M. Jinek—811111162L. Marhefka.—118613113
J. Martin10
WSep 23 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.809960J. Martin1.911111113LSep 23 · 18:35J. Martin1.80811111132M. Chmelicek1.91119813113WSep 21 · 21:35J. Martin1.86117118113L. Vosyka1.7491191182WSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101WSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112WSep 21 · 18:05J. Martin1.831111113M. Jinek1.837780WSep 20 · 17:14D. Hons1.6711551182J. Martin2.10511117113LSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072LSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:05D. Hons1.73311118123J. Martin2.00115711102
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