TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Krcil vs Matyas Jinek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Matyas Jinek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Jinek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Matyas Jinek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Matyas Jinek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 1–2 Matyas Jinek Tomas Krcil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jinek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1443 vs Jinek 1285
Krcil
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 60% vs Jinek 40%
Krcil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 50% vs Jinek 30%
Krcil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -2 · Jinek -3
Jinek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jinek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jinek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.00 / Jinek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jinek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13169081
Krcil2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 23 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back33% 8 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Jinek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrcil1wins
AwayJinek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJinek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil1Jinek2n = 3Jinek took 2 of 3
S2Krcil3Jinek0n = 3Krcil took 3 of 3
S3Krcil1Jinek2n = 3Jinek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrcilJinekK − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.037.7−3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilJinekBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 290 vs 6 / 2151.4%28.6%149 / 290 vs 6 / 21Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.432.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JinekKrcil 2.00/Jinek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jinek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 21 · 20:35T. Krcil331111113M. Jinek229580
LFeb 22 · 22:10T. Krcil3861171132M. Jinek47115119113
LFeb 22 · 21:35T. Krcil31813371M. Jinek44111111113
T. Krcil10
WSep 21 · 21:05T. Krcil1.441111113M. Jinek2.637970LSep 21 · 19:05J. Martin1.44111144133T. Krcil2.63951111112LSep 21 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.911111113T. Krcil1.804960WSep 17 · 17:40T. Krcil1.8311911113L. Vosyka1.83911361WSep 17 · 16:05T. Krcil2.00414116123L. Vosyka1.731112811102WSep 17 · 15:05T. Krcil1.83119114113P. Pesout1.8371121122LSep 17 · 14:05T. Krcil2.00117121182T. Motacek1.73811147113WSep 15 · 17:40M. Chmelicek1.8376111172T. Krcil1.83111195113WSep 15 · 16:05O. Pros1.809670T. Krcil1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:35P. Pesout2.00116811113T. Krcil1.7381111582
M. Jinek10
LSep 21 · 21:05T. Krcil1.441111113M. Jinek2.637970LSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113LSep 21 · 18:05J. Martin1.831111113M. Jinek1.837780LMay 19 · 18:35M. Jinek—811111162L. Marhefka.—118613113WApr 19 · 21:25M. Jinek—681111113M. Jirasek—11116852WApr 19 · 20:35M. Jirasek—141277122M. Jinek—12101111143LApr 19 · 19:35M. Jinek—9960L. Vosyka—1111113LApr 19 · 18:05M. Sokol—1211113M. Jinek—10470LApr 13 · 21:10V. Kaisler—11148113M. Jinek—6121171WApr 13 · 20:35M. Jinek—81111153J. Vidourek—1193131
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