TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Vosyka vs Jan Kabelka 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119511114911
Jan Kabelka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 6–4 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:36What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kabelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1483 vs Kabelka 1417
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 20% vs Kabelka 40%
Kabelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Kabelka 70%
Kabelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -4 · Kabelka +1
Vosyka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.91 / Kabelka 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13176819
Vosyka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Kabelka1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayKabelka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka83.3%5 of 6
AwayKabelka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka6Kabelka4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka6Kabelka4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka6Kabelka4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka5Kabelka1n = 6Vosyka took 5 of 6
S5Vosyka1Kabelka3n = 4Kabelka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaKabelkaV − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.535.2+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 464 vs 136 / 27851.3%48.9%238 / 464 vs 136 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.91/Kabelka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka50713911102J. Kabelka511111116123
WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka341211113J. Kabelka1910720
WSep 1 · 19:35L. Vosyka4211811123J. Kabelka399119101
WAug 25 · 20:05L. Vosyka49781112113J. Kabelka49111181092
LAug 20 · 20:35L. Vosyka215970J. Kabelka331111113
LAug 16 · 21:14L. Vosyka51119131082J. Kabelka538111112113
WAug 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka43111110113J. Kabelka27651241
WAug 13 · 18:35L. Vosyka331111113J. Kabelka135530
LAug 12 · 18:35L. Vosyka3951171152J. Kabelka49117119113
WJun 14 · 19:05L. Vosyka331111113J. Kabelka196760
L. Vosyka10
LSep 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.5311551192M. Chmelicek2.38711119113LSep 22 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.22615711102M. Jinek4.001113116123LSep 21 · 21:35J. Martin1.86117118113L. Vosyka1.7491191182LSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101WSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113WSep 21 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.911111113T. Krcil1.804960WSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113LSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113WSep 21 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.61781171L. Vosyka2.2011116113WSep 21 · 14:35R. Neterda2.38451181L. Vosyka1.5311118113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113LSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113WSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113WSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123WSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680WSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182WSep 18 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.7318118113M. Dvorak2.001671151
Upcoming Matches
L. Vosyka
Nothing scheduled
J. Kabelka
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