TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Chmelicek vs Jan Kabelka · TT Cup
TT Cup
Live
Martin Chmelicek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Set 3
1 – 1
Sets
11391186––––
Points in set 3
Jan Kabelka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Chmelicek above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-1 in play
Point 40 set 3, 5-1
40 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Martin Chmelicek 23–22 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Chmelicek beat Kabelka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmelicek 2.00 / Kabelka 1.73
TT Cup · #13180525
Chmelicek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 63 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back14% 13 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Kabelka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmelicek4wins
AwayKabelka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKabelka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmelicek80%4 of 5
AwayKabelka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmelicek5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S2Chmelicek5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S3Chmelicek3Kabelka7n = 10Kabelka took 7 of 10
S4Chmelicek4Kabelka4n = 8split evenly
S5Chmelicek2Kabelka3n = 5Kabelka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmelicekKabelkaC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.142.1−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmelicekKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 525 vs 137 / 27946.9%49.1%246 / 525 vs 137 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 18:35M. Chmelicek44111111113J. Kabelka34613871
WSep 20 · 20:35M. Chmelicek531291110113J. Kabelka44101161252
LSep 18 · 20:05M. Chmelicek202990J. Kabelka331111113
LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek337114111J. Kabelka4011511133
WAug 16 · 20:35M. Chmelicek46111184123J. Kabelka49891111102
LAug 13 · 21:05M. Chmelicek3984111152J. Kabelka48111187113
LAug 13 · 20:35M. Chmelicek2669110J. Kabelka351111133
LAug 12 · 20:35M. Chmelicek46151110642J. Kabelka561391211113
WAug 10 · 20:05M. Chmelicek4211119113J. Kabelka33681181
LAug 3 · 21:45M. Chmelicek527111111122J. Kabelka49116135143
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 22 · 20:35M. Chmelicek1.301113113M. Jinek3.4061130WSep 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.5311551192M. Chmelicek2.38711119113WSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 22 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.83911111182P. Pesout1.83116613113LSep 22 · 14:35T. Krcil1.831111113M. Chmelicek1.835240WSep 20 · 21:44M. Chmelicek2.5071111123L. Vosyka1.501199101WSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113LSep 20 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.63910111192L. Vosyka1.44111298113WSep 20 · 18:05R. Neterda1.50371161M. Chmelicek2.5011118113WSep 19 · 21:10J. Martin3.2581070M. Chmelicek1.331112113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9151151192J. Kabelka1.80119114113WSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113LSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113WSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113WSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123WSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680WSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182
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