TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Merkl vs Filip Kubos 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116115911115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRoman Merkl above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5
69 points played in total.
H2H Roman Merkl 9–6 Filip Kubos Filip Kubos has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kubos beat Merkl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Merkl form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerkl 1.57 / Kubos 2.25
Setka Cup · #13208501
Merkl1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 52 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Kubos2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 74 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back26% 25 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMerkl6wins
AwayKubos4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMerkl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMerkl66.7%6 of 9
AwayKubosn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Merkl9Kubos1n = 10Merkl took 9 of 10
S2Merkl5Kubos5n = 10split evenly
S3Merkl4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Merkl4Kubos2n = 6Merkl took 4 of 6
S5Merkl1Kubos2n = 3Kubos took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMerklKubosM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.0+3.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerklKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 561 vs 357 / 70547.4%50.6%266 / 561 vs 357 / 705Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MerklMerkl 1.57/Kubos 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Merkl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 17:30R. Merkl4411681182F. Kubos46711116113
WJul 20 · 20:00R. Merkl3611311113F. Kubos34911591
WJul 5 · 10:30R. Merkl351111133F. Kubos1816110
WJul 4 · 12:33R. Merkl351211123F. Kubos24104100
WJul 4 · 09:30R. Merkl331111113F. Kubos167540
LJun 22 · 16:00R. Merkl4011571162F. Kubos47811116113
LJun 20 · 13:15R. Merkl331184101F. Kubos3841111123
LMay 28 · 18:15R. Merkl199280F. Kubos331111113
WMay 24 · 06:45R. Merkl47121185113F. Kubos46106111182
WMay 3 · 05:45R. Merkl48121114113F. Kubos381071651
R. Merkl10
WSep 27 · 20:00L. Kolman1.5758111192R. Merkl2.25111118113WSep 27 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.8014991392R. Merkl1.9112111111113LSep 27 · 17:30F. Kubos3.25711116113R. Merkl1.3311681182WSep 26 · 16:55R. Merkl1.571111102L. Kolman2.2569100LSep 26 · 15:45L. Kolman1.61861114113R. Merkl2.20111171272LSep 26 · 14:45D. Brichacek1.91611112113R. Merkl1.8011641132LSep 26 · 13:15J. Simek1.50111183R. Merkl2.509950LSep 26 · 08:14R. Merkl1.8066111142M. Taranko1.91111178113LSep 26 · 07:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113R. Merkl2.008890LSep 26 · 06:45M. Taranko1.8011115113R. Merkl1.91481161
F. Kubos10
WSep 27 · 19:30F. Kubos2.2512611123A. Pavlik1.5710118101LSep 27 · 18:30F. Kubos2.75741171L. Kolman1.4011115113WSep 27 · 17:30F. Kubos3.25711116113R. Merkl1.3311681182LSep 21 · 20:23F. Kubos1.80111180S. Kalensky1.911313113LSep 21 · 19:45F. Kubos2.2591111562V. Herrmann1.57117811113LSep 21 · 18:15S. Kalensky1.837111111113F. Kubos1.8311861382LSep 21 · 17:45L. Stoces1.2811111010113F. Kubos3.5095121272WSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970LSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113WSep 20 · 10:30O. Chadima1.5731011111F. Kubos2.2511125133
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