TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Filip Kubos
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119117––––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7
62 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 8–8 Jachym Juppa Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Juppa beat Kubos 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 2.00 / Juppa 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Juppa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13164430
Kubos2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 54
Juppa1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 63 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it65% 51 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubos4wins
AwayJuppa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubosn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJuppa50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubos2Juppa8n = 10Juppa took 8 of 10
S2Kubos5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S3Kubos6Juppa4n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Kubos3Juppa5n = 8Juppa took 5 of 8
S5Kubos2Juppa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubosJuppaK − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.7−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 709 vs 445 / 84751.3%52.5%364 / 709 vs 445 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaKubos 2.00/Juppa 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 10:00F. Kubos45111041192J. Juppa49712118113
WSep 13 · 12:00F. Kubos3851111113J. Juppa36118891
LJul 9 · 10:45F. Kubos195680J. Juppa331111113
LJun 24 · 13:15F. Kubos348115101J. Juppa4211811123
LJun 20 · 16:21F. Kubos4711911972J. Juppa45611611113
WJun 20 · 15:15F. Kubos4271111133J. Juppa361159111
LJun 6 · 17:30F. Kubos3761011101J. Juppa4311128123
WMay 23 · 14:30F. Kubos558111110153J. Juppa49119412132
LMay 9 · 14:15F. Kubos2971390J. Juppa371115113
WMay 2 · 07:15F. Kubos5911121211133J. Juppa5713101013112
F. Kubos10
LSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113WSep 20 · 10:30O. Chadima1.5731011111F. Kubos2.2511125133LSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 18 · 21:13F. Kubos1.9111511123L. Hendrych1.806118101WSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192WSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113LSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113
J. Juppa10
WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290WSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 19 · 16:53J. Juppa1.57119124103V. Herrmann2.25511101162WSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772WSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113WSep 19 · 13:45L. Stoces2.35101060J. Juppa1.52121283WSep 18 · 17:00J. Juppa2.0011116113Z. Kuksa1.73981171WSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881LSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113
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