TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 19Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1159111210411106
Vit Herrmann
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-6
Point 89 set 5, 10-6
89 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 19–11 Vit Herrmann Vit Herrmann has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Juppa beat Herrmann 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herrmann form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.57 / Herrmann 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Juppa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13160470
Juppa1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 59 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it64% 48 of 75
Herrmann2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 59 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwayHerrmann5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa80%4 of 5
AwayHerrmann80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa5Herrmann5n = 10split evenly
S2Juppa7Herrmann3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Juppa3Herrmann7n = 10Herrmann took 7 of 10
S4Juppa4Herrmann4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaHerrmannJ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.0+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 846 vs 216 / 44052.3%49.1%442 / 846 vs 216 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.57/Herrmann 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 14:15J. Juppa4211911113V. Herrmann34511991
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa36911791V. Herrmann4111811113
WSep 6 · 10:30J. Juppa3611113113V. Herrmann36891181
LAug 23 · 16:00J. Juppa367127101V. Herrmann44111011123
LAug 1 · 12:29J. Juppa229580V. Herrmann331111113
LAug 1 · 11:00J. Juppa4211971142V. Herrmann49711119113
WApr 19 · 13:15J. Juppa351111133V. Herrmann2238110
WMar 7 · 15:00J. Juppa48151111113V. Herrmann36178471
WFeb 8 · 17:24J. Juppa471111410113V. Herrmann3724111282
LFeb 8 · 16:15J. Juppa4310121381V. Herrmann48121015113
J. Juppa10
LSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290WSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772WSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113WSep 19 · 13:45L. Stoces2.35101060J. Juppa1.52121283WSep 18 · 17:00J. Juppa2.0011116113Z. Kuksa1.73981171WSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881LSep 18 · 14:30Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Juppa2.009790
V. Herrmann10
WSep 19 · 15:15V. Herrmann1.801113811113L. Stoces1.9161511982LSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113WSep 19 · 13:15V. Herrmann2.00118511103V. Lopata1.7381111892LSep 12 · 16:46V. Lopata2.201112123V. Herrmann1.60610100WSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113WSep 12 · 14:45V. Herrmann1.83911511113V. Lopata1.8311311882WSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann1.9161113113L. Stoces1.801181171LSep 11 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5385111262J. Snr2.381111610113LSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113
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