TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155127
Played Sep 19Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161315811119118
Ludek Stoces
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVit Herrmann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Ludek Stoces below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vit Herrmann at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 1–0 Ludek Stoces Ludek Stoces has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Herrmann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Herrmann 1564 vs Stoces 1504
Herrmann
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Herrmann 60% vs Stoces 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Herrmann 50% vs Stoces 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Herrmann -1 · Stoces +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.80 / Stoces 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Herrmann)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155127
Herrmann1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Stoces1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 14 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHerrmann1wins
AwayStoces0wins
Herrmann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHerrmannStocesH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.037.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannStocesBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 439 vs 89 / 20649%43.2%215 / 439 vs 89 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.80/Stoces 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann4161113113L. Stoces371181171
V. Herrmann10
LSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113WSep 19 · 13:15V. Herrmann2.00118511103V. Lopata1.7381111892LSep 12 · 16:46V. Lopata2.201112123V. Herrmann1.60610100WSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113WSep 12 · 14:45V. Herrmann1.83911511113V. Lopata1.8311311882WSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann1.9161113113L. Stoces1.801181171LSep 11 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5385111262J. Snr2.381111610113LSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102
L. Stoces10
LSep 19 · 16:24V. Lopata1.831211133L. Stoces1.83107110WSep 19 · 14:45L. Stoces2.3811115143V. Lopata1.532811121LSep 19 · 13:45L. Stoces2.35101060J. Juppa1.52121283WSep 19 · 08:39J. Jnr2.00761191L. Stoces1.7311119113LSep 19 · 07:30L. Stoces1.805470P. Orlowski1.911111113WSep 19 · 06:30L. Stoces1.7314811113J. Jnr2.001211851LSep 19 · 05:30L. Stoces2.3812690D. Brichacek1.531411113WSep 12 · 16:16L. Stoces1.951117113O. Chadima1.7531570LSep 12 · 15:45L. Stoces1.837570V. Lopata1.831111113LSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann1.9161113113L. Stoces1.801181171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.