TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154939
Played Sep 18Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611117––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7
74 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 18–16 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kuksa beat Juppa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 2.00 / Kuksa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuksa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13154939
Juppa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 86 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Kuksa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it78% 62 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa6wins
AwayKuksa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa75%3 of 4
AwayKuksa50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa4Kuksa6n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S2Juppa4Kuksa6n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S3Juppa6Kuksa4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S4Juppa2Kuksa6n = 8Kuksa took 6 of 8
S5Juppa4Kuksa0n = 4Juppa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaKuksaJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.3−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 850 vs 259 / 50152.2%51.7%444 / 850 vs 259 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaJuppa 2.00/Kuksa 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 14:30J. Juppa259790Z. Kuksa331111113
WSep 5 · 07:00J. Juppa568151111113Z. Kuksa53111371392
WAug 10 · 17:30J. Juppa43711112123Z. Kuksa46118611102
WJul 17 · 08:00J. Juppa491111610113Z. Kuksa4195111242
WJul 13 · 12:58J. Juppa4361115113Z. Kuksa341151351
LJul 13 · 12:00J. Juppa371071191Z. Kuksa3912115113
WJun 29 · 08:43J. Juppa54116147163Z. Kuksa546111211142
LJun 29 · 07:00J. Juppa30115951Z. Kuksa4181111113
LJun 13 · 05:45J. Juppa197660Z. Kuksa331111113
WMay 2 · 08:44J. Juppa4111811113Z. Kuksa29711381
J. Juppa10
WSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881LSep 18 · 14:30Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Juppa2.009790WSep 18 · 14:00T. Hanke1.615117101J. Juppa2.2011411123WSep 16 · 16:43J. Juppa1.6111514133T. Bertho2.2071112111WSep 16 · 15:45O. Horak2.00441181J. Juppa1.7311115113WSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113LSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661LSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153LSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113WSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 18 · 15:30Z. Kuksa1.8041111113T. Hanke1.91119891WSep 18 · 14:30Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Juppa2.009790LSep 18 · 13:30Z. Kuksa2.1011651142T. Bertho1.67511116113WSep 17 · 21:03Z. Kuksa1.83111410113M. Cizek1.832121271WSep 17 · 20:00Z. Kuksa1.91115117113T. Bertho1.8091171172LSep 17 · 18:30M. Cizek2.20981111133Z. Kuksa1.61111179112WSep 17 · 18:00P. Maly1.83115661Z. Kuksa1.8391111113WSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113WSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660LSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582
Upcoming Matches
J. Juppa
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Z. Kuksa
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