TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13141433
Played Sep 16Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11751114121311––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 84 set 4, 13-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 16–9 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Bertho beat Juppa 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.61 / Bertho 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Juppa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13141433
Juppa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 56 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it63% 46 of 73
Bertho2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 63 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa7wins
AwayBertho3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa87.5%7 of 8
AwayBerthon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa8Bertho2n = 10Juppa took 8 of 10
S2Juppa5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S3Juppa7Bertho3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S4Juppa4Bertho4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaBerthoJ − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.2+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 857 vs 357 / 66952.3%53.4%448 / 857 vs 357 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.61/Bertho 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 13:15J. Juppa27114661T. Bertho4071111113
WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa331111113T. Bertho257990
WJul 13 · 11:00J. Juppa4211811123T. Bertho379117101
WJun 6 · 19:30J. Juppa371114123T. Bertho30812100
LMar 7 · 17:00J. Juppa36911971T. Bertho3911611113
LFeb 26 · 15:15J. Juppa4061211652T. Bertho521110911113
WJan 13 · 14:30J. Juppa4111116133T. Bertho369511111
WJan 4 · 14:45J. Juppa4311811133T. Bertho389117111
WDec 14 · 19:30J. Juppa46117116113T. Bertho4481171172
WDec 11 · 18:05J. Juppa44111111113T. Bertho31613751
J. Juppa10
WSep 16 · 15:45O. Horak2.00441181J. Juppa1.7311115113WSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113LSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661LSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153LSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113WSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181
T. Bertho10
WSep 16 · 15:15T. Bertho2.0011711113P. Provaznik1.73611881LSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113WSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661WSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123LSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113WSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113
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