TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142911
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511611611––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 3–3 Zdenek Kuksa Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1488 vs Kuksa 1581
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 20% vs Kuksa 80%
Kuksa
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 40% vs Kuksa 70%
Kuksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -1 · Kuksa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.83 / Kuksa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuksa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142911
Maly1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kuksa1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaly3wins
AwayKuksa3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly60%3 of 5
AwayKuksan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly5Kuksa1n = 6Maly took 5 of 6
S2Maly3Kuksa3n = 6split evenly
S3Maly3Kuksa3n = 6split evenly
S4Maly2Kuksa2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMalyKuksaM − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.235.0+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 444 vs 257 / 50252.9%51.2%235 / 444 vs 257 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaMaly 1.83/Kuksa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly49117111192Z. Kuksa45511135113
LApr 20 · 20:00P. Maly3710111151Z. Kuksa4412138113
WSep 27 · 09:15P. Maly4311129113Z. Kuksa305101141
LSep 1 · 18:45P. Maly4415108111Z. Kuksa49131211133
WJul 20 · 12:11P. Maly341112113Z. Kuksa2041060
WJul 20 · 10:45P. Maly341211113Z. Kuksa2210480
P. Maly10
LSep 17 · 19:00P. Maly1.91911711112T. Bertho1.80119118133LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 17 · 18:30M. Cizek2.20981111133Z. Kuksa1.61111179112WSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113WSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660LSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582WSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113WSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191
Upcoming Matches
P. Maly
Nothing scheduled
Z. Kuksa
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.