TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142890
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111197111181113
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 101 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 9–10 Tadeas Bertho Petr Maly has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1479 vs Bertho 1514
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 20% vs Bertho 40%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 30% vs Bertho 50%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -2 · Bertho -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.91 / Bertho 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142890
Maly1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back36% 14 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Bertho1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 76 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaly4wins
AwayBertho6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly100%3 of 3
AwayBertho85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Maly4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S3Maly4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Maly3Bertho4n = 7Bertho took 4 of 7
S5Maly3Bertho1n = 4Maly took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalyBerthoM − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.7−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 445 vs 357 / 67152.8%53.2%235 / 445 vs 357 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoMaly 1.91/Bertho 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly23103100T. Bertho351211123
WSep 14 · 19:15P. Maly49118811113T. Bertho4161111582
WJul 29 · 17:30P. Maly51991111113T. Bertho4311117772
LMay 30 · 12:55P. Maly206590T. Bertho331111113
LMay 30 · 10:15P. Maly25511451T. Bertho4211911113
WMay 8 · 20:29P. Maly371313113T. Bertho26111140
LMay 8 · 18:30P. Maly4581113942T. Bertho531191111113
LMar 29 · 14:45P. Maly29791121T. Bertho4111118113
WMar 6 · 18:15P. Maly45118411113T. Bertho4991111992
LFeb 9 · 20:30P. Maly367111171T. Bertho4411913113
P. Maly10
WSep 17 · 19:30M. Cizek2.2010911111P. Maly1.6112118133LSep 17 · 18:00P. Maly1.83115661Z. Kuksa1.8391111113LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191
T. Bertho10
LSep 17 · 20:00Z. Kuksa1.91115117113T. Bertho1.8091171172LSep 17 · 17:30M. Cizek1.731111113T. Bertho2.008660LSep 16 · 16:43J. Juppa1.6111514133T. Bertho2.2071112111WSep 16 · 15:15T. Bertho2.0011711113P. Provaznik1.73611881LSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113WSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661WSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123LSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113WSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Maly
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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