TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142885
Played Sep 17Finished
Marek Cizek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10129111181113––
Petr Maly
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Cizek above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 85 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Petr Maly at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Marek Cizek 4–4 Petr Maly Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Maly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1462 vs Maly 1482
Maly
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 60% vs Maly 20%
Cizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 40% vs Maly 20%
Cizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek +2 · Maly -3
Maly
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Maly) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.20 / Maly 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Maly)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142885
Cizek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 21 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Maly1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 57 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it64% 41 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCizek4wins
AwayMaly4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMaly66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek2Maly6n = 8Maly took 6 of 8
S2Cizek4Maly4n = 8split evenly
S3Cizek6Maly2n = 8Cizek took 6 of 8
S4Cizek4Maly4n = 8split evenly
S5Cizek2Maly2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricCizekMalyC − MBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match45.243.0+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 289 vs 236 / 44746.7%52.8%135 / 289 vs 236 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyCizek 2.20/Maly 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 17 · 19:30M. Cizek4110911111P. Maly4412118133
WJul 31 · 18:45M. Cizek4291111113P. Maly34118781
LJul 29 · 20:33M. Cizek4561111982P. Maly47116811113
WJul 29 · 19:30M. Cizek48611911113P. Maly4011511762
LJul 26 · 14:00M. Cizek5099121192P. Maly521111109113
WJul 27 · 16:50M. Cizek5811151110113P. Maly4551751262
WJul 27 · 15:45M. Cizek4611185123P. Maly4141611101
LJul 25 · 19:15M. Cizek32391191P. Maly4111118113
M. Cizek10
LSep 17 · 21:03Z. Kuksa1.83111410113M. Cizek1.832121271WSep 17 · 18:30M. Cizek2.20981111133Z. Kuksa1.61111179112WSep 17 · 17:30M. Cizek1.731111113T. Bertho2.008660LSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761WSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Cizek1.83991291J. Juppa1.83111110113LSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172WSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152
P. Maly10
LSep 17 · 20:33T. Bertho1.8011118113P. Maly1.91541151LSep 17 · 19:00P. Maly1.91911711112T. Bertho1.80119118133LSep 17 · 18:00P. Maly1.83115661Z. Kuksa1.8391111113LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113
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