TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Filip Kubos
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311511911114711
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Kubos to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Filip Kubos at 56.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 1–3 Jakub Nemecek Snr Filip Kubos has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kubos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Snr
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubos 1540 vs Snr 1496
Kubos
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubos 60% vs Snr 40%
Kubos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubos 70% vs Snr 30%
Kubos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubos +1 · Snr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kubos) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 1.67 / Snr 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kubos)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161086
Kubos1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 62 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66
Snr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKubos1wins
AwaySnr3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSnr leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubos33.3%1 of 3
AwaySnrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubos3Snr1n = 4Kubos took 3 of 4
S2Kubos3Snr1n = 4Kubos took 3 of 4
S3Kubos2Snr2n = 4split evenly
S4Kubos1Snr2n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S5Kubos0Snr3n = 3Snr took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away375%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKubosSnrK − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.040.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 709 vs 60 / 14551.3%41.4%364 / 709 vs 60 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubosKubos 1.67/Snr 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Kubos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos4513591172J. Snr481111114113
WSep 18 · 17:30F. Kubos341211113J. Snr2210480
LSep 3 · 17:30F. Kubos4211118572J. Snr48871111113
LFeb 12 · 19:30F. Kubos4391111662J. Snr44115611113
F. Kubos10
WSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 10:30O. Chadima1.5731011111F. Kubos2.2511125133LSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 18 · 21:13F. Kubos1.9111511123L. Hendrych1.806118101WSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192WSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113LSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113
J. Snr10
WSep 20 · 12:45J. Snr1.7381116113O. Chadima2.001121461LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172WSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871LSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162LSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101
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