TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121838
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111161181210––
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nemecek Snr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Nemecek Snr at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 1–0 Jakub Nemecek Snr Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hybl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1547 vs Snr 1524
Hybl
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 20% vs Snr 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 20% vs Snr 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -3 · Snr -1
Hybl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hybl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.50 / Snr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Hybl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121838
Hybl1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Snr2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHybl1wins
AwaySnr0wins
Hybl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHyblSnrH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 163 vs 56 / 13850.3%40.6%82 / 163 vs 56 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblHybl 1.50/Snr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hybl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJan 1 · 18:30T. Hybl331111113J. Snr227960
T. Hybl10
WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113
J. Snr10
LSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5385111262J. Snr2.381111610113LSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151
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