TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148455
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181191113511711
Ladislav Hendrych
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Nemecek Snr to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Nemecek Snr at 67.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 4–1 Ladislav Hendrych Ladislav Hendrych has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Snr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1498 vs Hendrych 1499
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Hendrych 60%
Hendrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 30% vs Hendrych 50%
Hendrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +1 · Hendrych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.53 / Hendrych 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Snr)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148455
Snr1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hendrych2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 35 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSnr4wins
AwayHendrych1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSnr leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr100%3 of 3
AwayHendrychn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Hendrych2n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
S2Snr3Hendrych2n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
S3Snr4Hendrych1n = 5Snr took 4 of 5
S4Snr2Hendrych1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSnrHendrychS − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 140 vs 193 / 37241.4%51.9%58 / 140 vs 193 / 372Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.53/Hendrych 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 12 · 22:08J. Snr351111133L. Hendrych2678110
WMar 12 · 20:00J. Snr4161212113L. Hendrych3711101061
WFeb 12 · 22:05J. Snr47119115113L. Hendrych4561191182
J. Snr10
WSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871LSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162LSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5385111262J. Snr2.381111610113LSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113
L. Hendrych10
WSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192LSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123WSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153WSep 13 · 11:30L. Hendrych1.7391111113J. Marhol2.00117771LSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113LSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392LSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113WSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.