TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31110121151113––
Filip Kubos
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Chadima to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Ondrej Chadima at 60.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Chadima 6–1 Filip Kubos Filip Kubos has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chadima
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Chadima
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1523 vs Kubos 1556
Kubos
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 40% vs Kubos 60%
Kubos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 40% vs Kubos 70%
Kubos
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima +1 · Kubos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chadima) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 1.57 / Kubos 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chadima)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13161541
Chadima1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 50 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Kubos2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeChadima6wins
AwayKubos1wins
3 of 7 to a deciderChadima leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChadima100%5 of 5
AwayKubosn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chadima5Kubos2n = 7Chadima took 5 of 7
S2Chadima2Kubos5n = 7Kubos took 5 of 7
S3Chadima4Kubos3n = 7Chadima took 4 of 7
S4Chadima4Kubos1n = 5Chadima took 4 of 5
S5Chadima3Kubos0n = 3Chadima took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricChadimaKubosC − KBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.740.0+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 569 vs 363 / 70751.3%51.3%292 / 569 vs 363 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChadimaChadima 1.57/Kubos 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Chadima · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 22 · 20:28O. Chadima4711616143F. Kubos4251114121
WAug 22 · 19:00O. Chadima4211118123F. Kubos378811101
WJun 26 · 09:08O. Chadima43631211113F. Kubos48111110792
WJun 26 · 06:30O. Chadima331111113F. Kubos249690
WApr 1 · 12:49O. Chadima51118128123F. Kubos497111011102
WApr 1 · 11:45O. Chadima45114811113F. Kubos4691111782
LMar 31 · 11:30O. Chadima2486100F. Kubos341111123
O. Chadima10
WSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172LSep 12 · 16:16L. Stoces1.951117113O. Chadima1.7531570LSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113WSep 12 · 14:15O. Chadima2.10111111113L. Stoces1.67139681LSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892LSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113WSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102LSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172
F. Kubos10
LSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 18 · 21:13F. Kubos1.9111511123L. Hendrych1.806118101WSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192WSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113LSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113WSep 12 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8311117123O. Karpisek1.838711101WSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Chadima
Nothing scheduled
F. Kubos
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