TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111121614116––
Ondrej Chadima
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6
79 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 2–6 Ondrej Chadima Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Chadima beat Snr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chadima form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.73 / Chadima 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Snr)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13164318
Snr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 5 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Chadima2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 51 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSnr2wins
AwayChadima6wins
3 of 8 to a deciderChadima leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr50%2 of 4
AwayChadima100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr4Chadima4n = 8split evenly
S2Snr3Chadima5n = 8Chadima took 5 of 8
S3Snr4Chadima3n = 7Snr took 4 of 7
S4Snr3Chadima2n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSnrChadimaS − CBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.639.4−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 145 vs 292 / 57141.4%51.1%60 / 145 vs 292 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.73/Chadima 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 20 · 09:30J. Snr4111571172O. Chadima45411118113
WMar 1 · 14:09J. Snr43111110113O. Chadima34781271
LFeb 1 · 12:15J. Snr4281151262O. Chadima521191110113
LDec 29 · 12:00J. Snr346111161O. Chadima4411139113
WDec 13 · 12:30J. Snr331111113O. Chadima228950
J. Snr10
WSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172WSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871LSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113WSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162LSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101
O. Chadima10
LSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103LSep 20 · 10:30O. Chadima1.5731011111F. Kubos2.2511125133WSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172LSep 12 · 16:16L. Stoces1.951117113O. Chadima1.7531570LSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113WSep 12 · 14:15O. Chadima2.10111111113L. Stoces1.67139681LSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892LSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113WSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102LSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113
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