TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadym Kucheriavyi vs Sergey Osipov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11911676––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-6
Point 50 set 3, 7-6 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Osipov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1215 vs Osipov 1204
Kucheriavyi
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 60% vs Osipov 80%
Osipov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 50% vs Osipov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi +2 · Osipov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osipov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.91 / Osipov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Osipov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13203313
Kucheriavyi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 5 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Osipov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 32 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 116 vs 130 / 27442.2%47.5%49 / 116 vs 130 / 274Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsipovKucheriavyi 1.91/Osipov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osipov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucheriavyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 27 · 14:40V. Kucheriavyi2.5011117113V. Kondratenko1.50591151WSep 27 · 13:10V. Kucheriavyi1.731111711113O. Miklukha2.0041311552LSep 19 · 12:50V. Kucheriavyi1.6771040V. Varchenko2.101112113LSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192WSep 19 · 08:50V. Stukalov2.251110471V. Kucheriavyi1.5781211113LSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113
S. Osipov10
LSep 27 · 13:40V. Varchenko1.5311911113S. Osipov2.38311841WSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541
Upcoming Matches
V. Kucheriavyi
Nothing scheduled
S. Osipov
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