TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Hovorunets vs Sergey Osipov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711211––––
Sergey Osipov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 45 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 55.8%
45 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1269 vs Osipov 1178
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 40% vs Osipov 20%
Hovorunets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 50% vs Osipov 20%
Hovorunets
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +2 · Osipov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.67 / Osipov 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hovorunets)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13173419
Hovorunets1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 48 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Osipov2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 476 vs 129 / 27448.7%47.1%232 / 476 vs 129 / 274Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.67/Osipov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Osipov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113WSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113WSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113WSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191LSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets2.006860S. Semenets1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113
S. Osipov10
WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113
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