TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Serhii Hovorunets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911711119811
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 57.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 44–31 Serhii Hovorunets Serhii Hovorunets has won 31 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-31 in 75
Semenets
Wrong
gap of 13 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1309 vs Hovorunets 1248
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 80% vs Hovorunets 40%
Semenets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Hovorunets 40%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +2 · Hovorunets -3
Hovorunets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Semenets) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 1.67 / Hovorunets 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Semenets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13176336
Semenets1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Hovorunets2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets5wins
AwayHovorunets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets57.1%4 of 7
AwayHovorunets66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets7Hovorunets3n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S2Semenets6Hovorunets4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Semenets4Hovorunets6n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S4Semenets3Hovorunets3n = 6split evenly
S5Semenets1Hovorunets2n = 3Hovorunets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsHovorunetsS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.2+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 835 vs 230 / 47450.3%48.5%420 / 835 vs 230 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsSemenets 1.67/Hovorunets 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets45911113113S. Hovorunets4111591152
WSep 15 · 17:40S. Semenets331111113S. Hovorunets206860
WSep 9 · 07:35S. Semenets431121113S. Hovorunets3281950
WSep 8 · 19:00S. Semenets341211113S. Hovorunets1610420
LAug 18 · 06:28S. Semenets33911671S. Hovorunets3911611113
WAug 6 · 11:30S. Semenets48111115113S. Hovorunets44991791
LAug 5 · 19:00S. Semenets4111461192S. Hovorunets42511114113
LMar 19 · 08:50S. Semenets34119951S. Hovorunets3851111113
LMar 18 · 16:50S. Semenets176650S. Hovorunets331111113
LMar 12 · 08:50S. Semenets4311581182S. Hovorunets47811116113
S. Semenets10
LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113WSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113WSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113WSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191LSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets2.006860S. Semenets1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113LSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102WSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680
Upcoming Matches
S. Semenets
S. Hovorunets
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.