TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Hovorunets vs Denys Khavanskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118811811––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 56.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 11–9 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Hovorunets
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1260 vs Khavanskyi 1255
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 40% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 50% vs Khavanskyi 70%
Khavanskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets -2 · Khavanskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.67 / Khavanskyi 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hovorunets)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172834
Hovorunets1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 48 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Khavanskyi2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets57.1%4 of 7
AwayKhavanskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets7Khavanskyi3n = 10Hovorunets took 7 of 10
S2Hovorunets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S3Hovorunets8Khavanskyi2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S4Hovorunets2Khavanskyi6n = 8Khavanskyi took 6 of 8
S5Hovorunets0Khavanskyi3n = 3Khavanskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.4+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 478 vs 165 / 32448.5%50.9%232 / 478 vs 165 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.67/Khavanskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets4881211982D. Khavanskyi461110311113
WSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi228680
LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets4412611782D. Khavanskyi501011711113
WMay 6 · 20:20S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi134540
LApr 29 · 20:20S. Hovorunets32481191D. Khavanskyi4011117113
WApr 22 · 16:20S. Hovorunets3911611113D. Khavanskyi31911291
LApr 15 · 20:20S. Hovorunets33871171D. Khavanskyi4211119113
LApr 1 · 15:50S. Hovorunets51127111382D. Khavanskyi521011515113
LDec 20 · 06:50S. Hovorunets361112581D. Khavanskyi4591411113
WDec 19 · 16:20S. Hovorunets4011117113D. Khavanskyi33941191
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113WSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113WSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191LSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets2.006860S. Semenets1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113LSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102WSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680WSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123WSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680
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