TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Volodymyr Varchenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Volodymyr Varchenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Volodymyr Varchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 64.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 11–7 Volodymyr Varchenko Volodymyr Varchenko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Semenets
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1277 vs Varchenko 1181
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Varchenko 40%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Varchenko 40%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -1 · Varchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Semenets) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 1.50 / Varchenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Semenets)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13176257
Semenets1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Varchenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets7wins
AwayVarchenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets83.3%5 of 6
AwayVarchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets6Varchenko4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Semenets6Varchenko4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Semenets8Varchenko2n = 10Semenets took 8 of 10
S4Semenets4Varchenko2n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsVarchenkoS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.634.6+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsVarchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 837 vs 104 / 22850.2%45.6%420 / 837 vs 104 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsSemenets 1.50/Varchenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets248880V. Varchenko331111113
LSep 13 · 10:05S. Semenets471111104112V. Varchenko44441211133
WSep 8 · 15:30S. Semenets4311911123V. Varchenko368117101
WSep 5 · 10:35S. Semenets4512811143V. Varchenko4210119121
WAug 23 · 08:35S. Semenets331111113V. Varchenko199640
WAug 22 · 06:30S. Semenets361213113V. Varchenko30101190
WAug 16 · 12:05S. Semenets331111113V. Varchenko216780
LAug 9 · 11:05S. Semenets336511111V. Varchenko4311118133
WAug 5 · 15:30S. Semenets4291111113V. Varchenko32119661
WAug 2 · 09:20S. Semenets50101414123V. Varchenko46121212101
S. Semenets10
LSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113WSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113
V. Varchenko10
WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351LSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113LSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111LSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WSep 19 · 12:50V. Kucheriavyi1.6771040V. Varchenko2.101112113LSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113LSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880
Upcoming Matches
S. Semenets
Nothing scheduled
V. Varchenko
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