TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Varchenko vs Sergey Osipov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412711118911117
Sergey Osipov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 101 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Varchenko at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 2–0 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Varchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1162 vs Osipov 1140
Varchenko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 40% vs Osipov 20%
Varchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 30% vs Osipov 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -1 · Osipov -4
Osipov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Varchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.67 / Osipov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Varchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172826
Varchenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 24 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Osipov2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVarchenko2wins
AwayOsipov0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVarchenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVarchenkoOsipovV − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.040.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 227 vs 128 / 27345.4%46.9%103 / 227 vs 128 / 273Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoVarchenko 1.67/Osipov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko52147119113S. Osipov49121181172
WMar 31 · 14:10V. Varchenko4071111113S. Osipov31117491
V. Varchenko10
WSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113LSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351LSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113LSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111LSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WSep 19 · 12:50V. Kucheriavyi1.6771040V. Varchenko2.101112113LSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113LSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880
S. Osipov10
LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113
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