TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Sergey Osipov vs Denys Khavanskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Sergey Osipov
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113117––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergey Osipov above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 66.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Sergey Osipov 2–2 Denys Khavanskyi Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osipov 1160 vs Khavanskyi 1259
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osipov 0% vs Khavanskyi 80%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osipov 20% vs Khavanskyi 70%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osipov -5 · Khavanskyi +2
Osipov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsipov 3.00 / Khavanskyi 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172968
Osipov3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Khavanskyi1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 24 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOsipov2wins
AwayKhavanskyi2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsipovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKhavanskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osipov1Khavanskyi3n = 4Khavanskyi took 3 of 4
S2Osipov3Khavanskyi1n = 4Osipov took 3 of 4
S3Osipov2Khavanskyi2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricOsipovKhavanskyiO − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match31.528.8+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsipovKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 274 vs 167 / 32747.1%51.1%129 / 274 vs 167 / 327Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiOsipov 3.00/Khavanskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov331111113D. Khavanskyi166370
WSep 3 · 08:05S. Osipov43101111113D. Khavanskyi26126531
LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov199640D. Khavanskyi331111113
LAug 25 · 07:05S. Osipov31711761D. Khavanskyi4011711113
S. Osipov10
LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113
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