TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Denys Khavanskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111214––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 60 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 58.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 18–29 Denys Khavanskyi Vladyslav Stukalov has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-29 in 47
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1177 vs Khavanskyi 1278
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Khavanskyi 70%
Khavanskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +2 · Khavanskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.20 / Khavanskyi 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172937
Stukalov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 105 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Khavanskyi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 24 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov100%3 of 3
AwayKhavanskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov3Khavanskyi7n = 10Khavanskyi took 7 of 10
S2Stukalov5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Stukalov6Khavanskyi4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov2Khavanskyi3n = 5Khavanskyi took 3 of 5
S5Stukalov2Khavanskyi1n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.936.3−2.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 831 vs 167 / 32649.8%51.2%414 / 831 vs 167 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiStukalov 2.20/Khavanskyi 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2457120D. Khavanskyi361111143
LSep 20 · 07:35V. Stukalov187740D. Khavanskyi331111113
WSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov351111133D. Khavanskyi2485110
WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov351113113D. Khavanskyi2051140
WSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov49118113163D. Khavanskyi53811911142
WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov50981111113D. Khavanskyi4011114592
LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov44411118102D. Khavanskyi47115811123
LSep 3 · 09:35V. Stukalov176740D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 09:05V. Stukalov27711631D. Khavanskyi4211911113
WAug 29 · 09:20V. Stukalov4041411113D. Khavanskyi351112841
V. Stukalov10
WSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590LSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123LSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111LSep 19 · 08:50V. Stukalov2.251110471V. Kucheriavyi1.5781211113WSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123WSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113
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